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Exact group sequential designs for two-arm experiments with Poisson distributed outcome variables

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Version 2 2021-01-04, 19:41
Version 1 2019-07-01, 14:02
journal contribution
posted on 2021-01-04, 19:41 authored by Michael J. Grayling, James M. S. Wason, Adrian P. Mander

We describe and compare two methods for the group sequential design of two-arm experiments with Poisson distributed data, which are based on a normal approximation and exact calculations respectively. A framework to determine near-optimal stopping boundaries is also presented. Using this framework, for a considered example, we demonstrate that a group sequential design could reduce the expected sample size under the null hypothesis by as much as 44% compared to a fixed sample approach. We conclude with a discussion of the advantages and disadvantages of the two presented procedures.

Funding

This work was supported by the Medical Research Council under Grant MC_UU_00002/3 to M.J.G. and A.P.M., and Grant MC_UU_00002/6 to J.M.S.W.

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    Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods

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