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One-tailed asymptotic inferences for the relative risk: A comparison of 63 inference methods

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journal contribution
posted on 2020-05-13, 22:11 authored by Antonio Martín Andrés, Maria Álvarez Hernández, Inmaculada Herranz Tejedor

Two-tailed asymptotic inferences for the ratio R=p2/p1 of two independent proportions have been well covered in the published literature. However, not very much has been written about one-tailed asymptotic inferences. This paper evaluates 63 different methods for realizing such inferences (hypothesis tests and confidence intervals). In general it is noted that: (a) the one-tailed inferences require at least 80 observations per sample, compared to the 40 observations necessary for two-tailed inferences; (b) the traditional methods do not perform well; (c) the methods selected for each case are not always the same; and (d) the optimal method is the ‘approximate adjusted score’ method (ZA1 in this paper), which is not always reliable, or ‘Peskun´s score’ method (ZP0 in theis paper), which is always reliable but is very conservative. The two selected methods provide an confidence interval that is obtained through an explicit formula.

Funding

This research was supported by the Spanish Ministry of Economy, Industry and Competitiveness, grant number MTM2016-76938-P (cofinanced by funding from FEDER).

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