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Two-Sample Testing for Tail Copulas with an Application to Equity Indices

Version 2 2023-02-06, 13:20
Version 1 2023-01-09, 14:01
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posted on 2023-02-06, 13:20 authored by Sami Umut Can, John H. J. Einmahl, Roger J. A. Laeven

A novel, general two-sample hypothesis testing procedure is established for testing the equality of tail copulas associated with bivariate data. More precisely, using a martingale transformation of a natural two-sample tail copula process, a test process is constructed, which is shown to converge in distribution to a standard Wiener process. Hence, from this test process a myriad of asymptotically distribution-free two-sample tests can be obtained. The good finite-sample behavior of our procedure is demonstrated through Monte Carlo simulations. Using the new testing procedure, no evidence of a difference in the respective tail copulas is found for pairs of negative daily log-returns of equity indices during and after the global financial crisis.

Funding

John Einmahl holds the Arie Kapteyn Chair 2019–2022 and gratefully acknowledges the corresponding research support. Roger Laeven is supported in part by the Netherlands Organization for Scientific Research under an NWO-Vici grant 2020–2025.

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