Model-based simulation of glycaemic effect and body weight loss when switching from semaglutide or dulaglutide to once weekly tirzepatide
To evaluate the efficacy endpoints of HbA1c and body weight loss after switching from the GLP-1 receptor agonists, semaglutide or dulaglutide, to treatment with the GIP/GLP-1 receptor agonist (RA) tirzepatide.
Models were developed and validated to describe the HbA1c and weight loss time course for semaglutide (SUSTAIN 1-10), dulaglutide (AWARD-11) and tirzepatide (SURPASS 1-5, phase 3 global T2D program). The impact of switching from once weekly GLP-1 RAs to tirzepatide was described by simulating the efficacy time course. Semaglutide and dulaglutide doses were escalated in accordance with their respective labels.
Model-predicted mean decreases from baseline in HbA1c and body weight for semaglutide 0.5 mg, 1 mg, and 2 mg were 1.22 to 1.79% and 3.62 to 6.87 kg respectively, at Week 26. Model-predicted mean decreases from baseline in HbA1c and body weight for dulaglutide 1.5 mg, 3 mg and 4.5 mg were 1.53 to 1.84% and 2.55 to 3.71 kg respectively, at Week 26. After switching to tirzepatide 5, 10 and 15 mg HbA1c reductions were predicted to range between 1.95 to 2.46% and body weight reductions between 6.50 to 12.1 kg by Week 66.
In this model-based simulation, switching from approved maintenance doses of semaglutide or dulaglutide to tirzepatide, even at the lowest approved maintenance dose of 5 mg, showed the potential to further improve HbA1c and body weight reductions.
Type 2 diabetes is a disease of elevated blood sugar levels. Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) are a type of medication used to treat type 2 diabetes that work on GLP-1 receptors in the body. Semaglutide and dulaglutide are examples of GLP-1 RAs, which lower blood sugar and body weight. Tirzepatide is a newer medication, which works on both GLP-1 and glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide (GIP) receptors. It reduces blood sugar and body weight in people living with type 2 diabetes. Healthcare professionals and patients are interested in how switching medication from semaglutide or dulaglutide to tirzepatide might change blood glucose levels and body weight. However, because tirzepatide is a newer medication, there is not much information available on this aspect. Data from clinical trials of these medications were used to predict the effects of switching from semaglutide or dulaglutide to tirzepatide. These model-based simulations showed that switching to tirzepatide may further reduce HbA1c (a measure of blood sugar) and body weight. This may provide useful information to healthcare professionals and patients when making decisions about treatment with these medications.
